We appear to be months short of a satisfactory peace settlement in Ukraine. And it is too early to be definite about everything. Yet it is worth mulling over what lessons to draw for the long term from this sorry episode in international relations. First, everyone without direct access to satellite intelligence and lengthy … Continue reading Looking Ahead: Hard Lessons from Russia’s War in Ukraine
Month: March 2022
Censorship in Russia is now Complete
Novaya gazeta has closed down while the war continues. It was the last of the media outlets attempting to carry on reporting as normal. ОТ РЕДАКЦИИ Мы приостанавливаем работу Заявление редакции «Новой газеты» «Новая газета» -7 часов назад
China to Distance Itself from Russia
The orientalists in Russia have long been hand in glove with government simply by virtue of the long and arduous training in language and culture they collectively receive. So it is worth listening to them. A leading Russian specialist on China, Mikhail Karpov, dismisses the idea that China is likely to go all in with … Continue reading China to Distance Itself from Russia
Russia’s Sudden IT Brain Drain
MARCH 22, 2022/ JONATHAN HASLAM Putin’s savage war on Ukraine has turned Russia into a country that the most talented no longer wish to live in. The end of February and early March saw a veritable tide of IT specialists leave Russia for the “near abroad.” To the suggestion of one reader that it does not … Continue reading Russia’s Sudden IT Brain Drain
Russians Relish Biden’s Oil Crisis
As they say, "What goes around, comes around." President Biden came to office set on being squeaky clean in getting rid of fossil fuels to appease the believers in global warming. So he clamped down on fracking and closed down oil pipelines from Canada. And it felt good. To please Iran, whose deal with the … Continue reading Russians Relish Biden’s Oil Crisis
British Petroleum Still In Bed With Rosneft
After Putin went to war with Ukraine and the West began sanctions against Russia, we were told British Petroleum (BP) would divest from Rosneft, a leading Russian oil company. And BP is not just any oil company. It is 46% owned by the British Government. So its actions do not reflect purely private sector responses … Continue reading British Petroleum Still In Bed With Rosneft
The Growing Consequences of an Orwellian Nightmare
At his highly orchestrated rally the president for life would have the people believe that he is saving the country from fascism. The blatant contradiction between his bizarre fantasy and the ugly reality has resulted in a Kafka-esque world for many Russians; particularly the best informed within the state apparatus at home and abroad. The … Continue reading The Growing Consequences of an Orwellian Nightmare
Russia Under Cyber-Bombardment
The Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media (Mintsifry) reports unprecedented attacks on government communications to the level of one terabyte (one trillion bytes.) This is twice as high as any previous onslought. It is using defences set up in 2020 to counter the threat from foreign interlopers. On 11 March the government called … Continue reading Russia Under Cyber-Bombardment
A Summing Up of Russia’s War Against Ukraine
Russia Finally Admits Ukraine is Hard to Beat
For so long Russians were led to believe by the Kremlin that Ukraine was weak because it was run by fascists unrepresentative of the population who, by implication, would be welcoming in their kind liberators from the North with flowers. Then they had a problem explaining to their own population why this special military operation … Continue reading Russia Finally Admits Ukraine is Hard to Beat