The current German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, reflecting the values of what is fundamentally the German money-making machine (a Geschlossene Handelsstaat), shifted over time from an instinctive aversion to President Putin, born of her years in the Russian zone of Germany, into a path of discreet collaboration based on common commercial interests, the driving force in German external policy.
For this line to progress, she needed the United States to remain quietly acquiescent, if not completely supportive; not least to pay for Germany’s security, standing by a European alliance that refused to pay for itself, while the EU, led primarily by Germany, conducted a protectionist economic policy in collision with American national interests. President Trump, however, threatened to upturn the apple cart and treated those in Europe who behaved like ungrateful children in the manner of the scolding parent, with an added dose of typically Trump-like churlish truculence. Thus the victory of President Biden came to Moscow and the Germans as a welcome relief.
But Biden is old, frail and showing all the signs of dementia that Reagan exhibited in his second term. He has no policies except those of Obama and what Speaker of the House Pelosi permits, and Obama tried and failed to secure a healthy relationship with Putin’s Russia, while Pelosi knows nothing of foreign policy. The transformation of the American ambassador to Russia, professor Mike McFaul of Stanford, from a naive exponent of an entente with Russia into an embittered opponent symptomised a larger problem. After the disaster of the Bush years of relations between Russia and the United States aggravated by Condoleezza Rice’s condescending attitude to Russia and Vice President Cheney’s thirst for war in the Middle East, any adjustment would have been a tall order to convince Putin that the Americans were interested in an equitable relationship. The Russians were and are much happier with a minimal relationship based purely on mutual commercial advantage. And that is what Germany offers.
The election on 16 January of a new leader to head the CDU in Germany holds out to Russia the hope – despite continued pressure from Washington DC to dump Nordstream II – that all may be well for the long term. Armin Laschet has a reputation for thinking that Russia above all needs understanding and forgiveness. And his priorities are even more blatantly commercial than those of Merkel. For him a spade is not just a spade; it is for sale. And a new documentary from deep state TV (Zvezda TV) run by the Russian Ministry of Defence is not shy of hailing the next Chancellor – if all goes well in September – as a welcome prospect for creating a Russo-German strategic partnership.
Россия и Германия: между прошлым и будущим
20:25 25.02.2021Почему взаимосвязь между Россией и Германией на протяжении всей истории были так противоречивы? И что ждет наши государства в ближайшие годы?